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Indiana Hoosiers v. Stetson Hatters: IU shoots for 8-0 (preview).

By John M. IU

Stetson Hatters
Current record: 4-3 (1-0 Atlantic Sun)
Current RPI: 288 (IU is #43)
Current Sagarin: 180 (IU is #15)
Current Pomeroy: 271 (IU is #19)
2010-11 record: 8-23 (6-14)
2010-11 RPI: 304
2010-11 Sagarin: 294
2010-11 Pomeroy: 297
Pomeroy scouting report
Series: first meeting
TV: 4:30 Sunday, BTN.com (online only)
Blog: n/a

After a solid win at North Carolina State, IU seeks to improve to 8-0 with a win over the Stetson Hatters. Stetson is in its first year under the leadership of head coach Casey Alexander, after the Hatters parted way with Derek Waugh, who never had a winning season there. Alexander comes from the staff of Belmont, probably the most prominent program in the Atlantic Sun and an NCAA regular in recent years. Pomeroy still projects the Hatters to finish below .500 in the A-Sun, but they are off to a nice start, having knocked off East Tennessee State in their conference opener. None of Stetson's four wins have been impressive, but they did play reasonably well at Florida State, losing by 13.

When the Hatters get the ball past midcourt, they have been reasonably effective. Stetson ranks #76 nationally in effective field goal percentage, and is shooting 38 percent from three point range (#71 nationally) and 48 percent from two point range. The rub, and what should have Victor Oladipo, Cody Zeller, and others rubbing their hands, is that Stetson is a turnover machine, and not in a good way. The Hatters are coughing it up on 30 percent of their offensive possessions, which ranks them #341 of 345 Division I teams, and 17.2 percent of their possessions end in steals (that's good enough for #344). Every Stetson player who plays more than 10 minutes is a) in the red on assist/turnover ratio and b) averages at least 1.9 turnovers per game. The good news for Stetson is that they have pretty solid field goal defense and turn their opponents over 21 percent of the time. Still, coughing it up on nearly a third of a team's possessions will offset a lot of good.

Here are the Hatters' individual numbers.

FG 3PT FT Rebounds Misc
G M M A Pct M A Pct M A Pct Off Def Tot Ast TO Stl Blk PF PPG
Adam Pegg 7 27.1 4.6 8.3 55.2 0.7 1.3 55.6 3.6 4.9 73.5 1.3 3.7 5.0 1.9 2.7 0.4 0.3 3.4 13.4
Chris Perez 7 31.1 4.3 9.3 46.2 0.6 2.0 28.6 2.9 4.4 64.5 2.4 2.1 4.6 1.4 2.6 1.3 0.0 2.7 12.0
Aaron Graham 7 25.6 3.6 9.6 37.3 2.1 5.3 40.5 2.1 2.7 78.9 0.9 4.4 5.3 3.1 3.4 1.1 0.3 2.9 11.4
Joel Naburgs 7 27.0 3.3 8.6 38.3 2.4 6.6 37.0 0.4 0.7 60.0 1.6 5.3 6.9 2.0 2.4 0.9 0.0 1.4 9.4
Liam McInerney 7 24.4 2.3 4.4 51.6 0.7 1.6 45.5 1.4 2.0 71.4 1.7 3.4 5.1 0.7 2.3 0.3 0.4 2.7 6.7
Willie Green 7 19.7 2.4 5.1 47.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.9 38.5 1.1 2.7 3.9 1.4 2.4 0.4 1.3 1.4 5.6
Dennis Diaz 7 13.6 1.7 3.4 50.0 0.7 2.1 33.3 0.3 0.3 100.0 0.4 2.0 2.4 1.4 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.9 4.4
Jermol Paul 7 7.0 0.7 1.3 55.6 0.1 0.6 25.0 1.0 1.4 70.0 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.0 1.4 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.6
J.R. Weston 7 8.6 0.9 1.7 50.0 0.6 1.3 44.4 0.1 0.3 50.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.4
Tyshawn Patterson 7 14.1 0.4 2.4 17.6 0.3 1.1 25.0 0.9 1.4 60.0 0.3 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.3 1.0 0.1 1.1 2.0
Diego Morales 3 4.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0

As you can see, when the Hatters actually make it to a shot attempt, they rely pretty heavily on the three point shot, and Adam Pegg (55 percent), Aaron Graham (40.5 percent), and Liam McInerney (45 percent) are pretty potent. Pegg (a Delaware transfer), and McInerney, in particular, are intriguing, because both are 6-9 yet aren't afraid to shoot from deep. Unfortunately for Stetson, other than those two guys and little-used Willie Green (6-7), no Hatter is taller than 6-4.

Obviously, given where this program has been in recent years, the Hoosiers can overlook no team, but the Hatters seem particularly ill-suited to counter IU's suddenly deflection-happy defense. Let's hope that the Hoosiers can make quick work of Stetson and then get ready for the Wildcats.

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