Loyola, Md. Greyhounds
Current record: 5-5 (0-0 in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference)
Current RPI: 202
Current Sagarin: 195
Current Pomeroy: 189
2008-09 record: 12-20 (7-11 MAAC)
2008-09 RPI: 194
2008-09 Sagarin: 219
2008-09 Pomeroy: 229
Pomeroy scouting report
Series: First meeting
TV: 6:30 Tuesday, Big Ten Network
Indiana stands at 5-5 and must win two non-conference home games to enter Big Ten play with a winning record. I hate to mention it, but it was at this point last season where the wheels came off. With two non-conference games remaining in 2008-09, IU was 5-4 and had lost only to respectable teams (Notre Dame, St. Joseph's, Kentucky, Gonzaga). IU then lost to Northeastern by 13 and Lipscomb by 5, and won only one more game all season. I think this year's team is better than that, but it's very important that the Hoosiers take these next two games seriously.
Tom Crean spoke quite highly of the Loyola Greyhounds. Here are their stats:
I'm in a rush, so the above numbers will have to speak for themselves. As for the overall tempo-free numbers, the Greyhounds excel at field goal defense (#13 in two point percentage) and block lots of shots. On the downside, Loyola turns the ball over quite a bit and allows its opponents lots to trips to the line. The Greyhounds sport sub-250 rankings in 2 point shooting, free throw shooting, shots blocked, and offensive turnover percentage. On the other hand, Loyola shoots 37 percent from three point range, and Brett Harvey, with 40 percent shooting from behind the arc, looks like the primary threat.
Pomeroy gives IU a 76 percent chance to win this game. For IU to cling to the faintest postseason hopes, this game and next week's game against Bryant are essential.