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Indiana Hoosiers v. Stetson Hatters: IU shoots for 8-0 (preview).

Stetson Hatters
Current record: 4-3 (1-0 Atlantic Sun)
Current RPI: 288 (IU is #43)
Current Sagarin: 180 (IU is #15)
Current Pomeroy: 271 (IU is #19)
2010-11 record: 8-23 (6-14)
2010-11 RPI: 304
2010-11 Sagarin: 294
2010-11 Pomeroy: 297
Pomeroy scouting report
Series: first meeting
TV: 4:30 Sunday, BTN.com (online only)
Blog: n/a

After a solid win at North Carolina State, IU seeks to improve to 8-0 with a win over the Stetson Hatters. Stetson is in its first year under the leadership of head coach Casey Alexander, after the Hatters parted way with Derek Waugh, who never had a winning season there. Alexander comes from the staff of Belmont, probably the most prominent program in the Atlantic Sun and an NCAA regular in recent years. Pomeroy still projects the Hatters to finish below .500 in the A-Sun, but they are off to a nice start, having knocked off East Tennessee State in their conference opener. None of Stetson's four wins have been impressive, but they did play reasonably well at Florida State, losing by 13.

Star-divide

When the Hatters get the ball past midcourt, they have been reasonably effective. Stetson ranks #76 nationally in effective field goal percentage, and is shooting 38 percent from three point range (#71 nationally) and 48 percent from two point range. The rub, and what should have Victor Oladipo, Cody Zeller, and others rubbing their hands, is that Stetson is a turnover machine, and not in a good way. The Hatters are coughing it up on 30 percent of their offensive possessions, which ranks them #341 of 345 Division I teams, and 17.2 percent of their possessions end in steals (that's good enough for #344). Every Stetson player who plays more than 10 minutes is a) in the red on assist/turnover ratio and b) averages at least 1.9 turnovers per game. The good news for Stetson is that they have pretty solid field goal defense and turn their opponents over 21 percent of the time. Still, coughing it up on nearly a third of a team's possessions will offset a lot of good.

Here are the Hatters' individual numbers.


FG 3PT FT Rebounds Misc
G M M A Pct M A Pct M A Pct Off Def Tot Ast TO Stl Blk PF PPG
Adam Pegg 7 27.1 4.6 8.3 55.2 0.7 1.3 55.6 3.6 4.9 73.5 1.3 3.7 5.0 1.9 2.7 0.4 0.3 3.4 13.4
Chris Perez 7 31.1 4.3 9.3 46.2 0.6 2.0 28.6 2.9 4.4 64.5 2.4 2.1 4.6 1.4 2.6 1.3 0.0 2.7 12.0
Aaron Graham 7 25.6 3.6 9.6 37.3 2.1 5.3 40.5 2.1 2.7 78.9 0.9 4.4 5.3 3.1 3.4 1.1 0.3 2.9 11.4
Joel Naburgs 7 27.0 3.3 8.6 38.3 2.4 6.6 37.0 0.4 0.7 60.0 1.6 5.3 6.9 2.0 2.4 0.9 0.0 1.4 9.4
Liam McInerney 7 24.4 2.3 4.4 51.6 0.7 1.6 45.5 1.4 2.0 71.4 1.7 3.4 5.1 0.7 2.3 0.3 0.4 2.7 6.7
Willie Green 7 19.7 2.4 5.1 47.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.9 38.5 1.1 2.7 3.9 1.4 2.4 0.4 1.3 1.4 5.6
Dennis Diaz 7 13.6 1.7 3.4 50.0 0.7 2.1 33.3 0.3 0.3 100.0 0.4 2.0 2.4 1.4 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.9 4.4
Jermol Paul 7 7.0 0.7 1.3 55.6 0.1 0.6 25.0 1.0 1.4 70.0 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.0 1.4 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.6
J.R. Weston 7 8.6 0.9 1.7 50.0 0.6 1.3 44.4 0.1 0.3 50.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.4
Tyshawn Patterson 7 14.1 0.4 2.4 17.6 0.3 1.1 25.0 0.9 1.4 60.0 0.3 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.3 1.0 0.1 1.1 2.0
Diego Morales 3 4.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0

As you can see, when the Hatters actually make it to a shot attempt, they rely pretty heavily on the three point shot, and Adam Pegg (55 percent), Aaron Graham (40.5 percent), and Liam McInerney (45 percent) are pretty potent. Pegg (a Delaware transfer), and McInerney, in particular, are intriguing, because both are 6-9 yet aren't afraid to shoot from deep. Unfortunately for Stetson, other than those two guys and little-used Willie Green (6-7), no Hatter is taller than 6-4.

Obviously, given where this program has been in recent years, the Hoosiers can overlook no team, but the Hatters seem particularly ill-suited to counter IU's suddenly deflection-happy defense. Let's hope that the Hoosiers can make quick work of Stetson and then get ready for the Wildcats.

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Man, that Stetson guy is RIPPED.

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by Uncle Menno on Dec 2, 2011 1:51 PM EST reply actions  

I don’t know who he is. He looks like he’s from the future. I don’t think he’s on this year’s team, but there are few good Stetson photos in the editor. This one is from a game two years ago.

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by John M (The Crimson Quarry) on Dec 2, 2011 1:53 PM EST up reply actions  

From the shoes in the background

it looks like they’re playing Tennessee.

I wonder what cologne the players use?

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by Uncle Menno on Dec 2, 2011 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

It could be a winning strategy. Slather on the cologne, make the IU players’ eyes’ water, and just wait for Watford to lose a contact lens or 6.

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by John M (The Crimson Quarry) on Dec 2, 2011 2:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Those orange shoes belong to Univ of Fl

The Hats lost to them big last week. They went something like 2-25 from the three point arc. Years ago we did have a Mad Hatter mascot (Alice in Wonderland- I had binders with him on them spinning a basket ball) however they thought that was over the top. The Hoosiers should not have much problems with them. It was a very nice compete report by John.

by newIUfan on Dec 3, 2011 8:34 PM EST reply actions  

turnover machine

Indiana has been there, too, and not that long ago. No disrespect to the Hatters, but I think everyone will be surprised if Stetson can even make a game of it. IU should be really hard to beat at home this season (I hope).

by Devin S. on Dec 4, 2011 1:17 PM EST via iPhone app reply actions  

I hope so, too. Lots of people talk about road games, and games like NC State are great, but it’s no exaggeration to say that this could be an NCAA Tournament team without another road win (i.e., winning all home and neutral games). Now, I don’t really expect that. OSU and UK will be very tough even at home, and MSU and Purdue will be challenging as well. And if IU were good enough to win out at home, then we would be expected to win at PSU, Northwestern, Nebraska, and Iowa. That’s a long way of saying that being nearly unbeatable at home is a good start. Going 7-2 at home in conference and 2-7 away usually is good enough for a bid. Again, I’m encouraged by our road play, but I long for the days when, whether IU was a 20 win team or 30 win team, it was nearly impossible for an opponent to win at the Hall.

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by John M (The Crimson Quarry) on Dec 4, 2011 1:48 PM EST up reply actions  

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Welcome. I previously blogged about IU at The Hoosier Report for about two years. You can follow The Crimson Quarry on Twitter. E-mail me at crimsonquarry at sbcglobal.net.

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